Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.951135 2.224744 2.525149 2.879809 3.287556 3.742215 4.288403
2025-10-12 1.626001 2.001390 2.447806 3.019334 3.733824 4.600420 5.735605
2025-10-19 1.368720 1.795783 2.338801 3.083305 4.082910 5.386158 7.226447
2025-10-26 1.176879 1.631205 2.243216 3.133803 4.406631 6.175194 8.844875
2025-11-02 0.991317 1.440488 2.076477 3.051125 4.522298 6.684224 10.146519
2025-11-09 0.828104 1.253916 1.883673 2.893697 4.493661 6.964807 11.137259
2025-11-16 0.729533 1.147330 1.790566 2.866668 4.649708 7.534953 12.655441
2025-11-23 0.642921 1.046388 1.690616 2.810618 4.744362 8.010407 14.079914
2025-11-30 0.607502 1.022319 1.708648 2.947675 5.175368 9.100639 16.736968
2025-12-07 0.565534 0.981296 1.692048 3.020596 5.500631 10.046191 19.276210
2025-12-14 0.514445 0.917864 1.628366 2.999394 5.648482 10.683482 21.320983
2025-12-21 0.456946 0.836094 1.522133 2.884860 5.602104 10.941424 22.641282
2025-12-28 0.437434 0.823186 1.542526 3.018499 6.067478 12.287730 26.493306
2026-01-04 0.420582 0.813347 1.567554 3.164855 6.580798 13.811714 31.014182
2026-01-11 0.396110 0.785714 1.554587 3.231937 6.937725 15.059913 35.145134
2026-01-18 0.372592 0.757186 1.536274 3.284931 7.271178 16.306619 39.504908
2026-01-25 0.338382 0.702724 1.458274 3.197994 7.277419 16.809327 42.130850
2026-02-01 0.301241 0.637997 1.351343 3.032536 7.077623 16.795881 43.433860
2026-02-08 0.279371 0.603908 1.306787 3.004124 7.199961 17.579767 46.987941
2026-02-15 0.257339 0.567116 1.252227 2.945225 7.239139 18.161730 50.101666
2026-02-22 0.251869 0.567046 1.280480 3.089238 7.809959 20.198438 57.734079
2026-03-01 0.241998 0.555744 1.281453 3.165868 8.217569 21.868243 64.635294
2026-03-08 0.226644 0.529914 1.245264 3.143586 8.358254 22.830969 69.585724